The word 'probability' in ordinary language has two different senses, here called "inductive" and "physical" probability. This paper examines the concept of inductive probability. Attempts to express ...

This is a preview. Log in through your library . Journal Information Current issues are now on the Chicago Journals website. Read the latest issue.Since its inception in 1934, Philosophy of Science, ...

The conjunction and disjunction fallacies are famous for revealing the limits of human reasoning about probability. This can be measured by telling people a short story about a character and then ...